Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Richard Koch At 60 beats per minute

At 60 beats per minute

Maya must unravel an ancient mystery that spans reincarnated lives to save those she loves the most…including herself

The Bus Driver Who Wanted to Be God gathers his daring and provocative short stories for the first time in English

The search for this juste milieu leads to a rationalist aesthetics of historical writing

and Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Richard Koch At 60 beats per minuteThe most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the weeks meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an